The Math · LOCKED 2026-04-24

The math, with every assumption named.

This is the spouse-math one-pager. If a number appears anywhere on this site, it either lives on this page with its source and evidence class — or it doesn’t ship. Confidence Floor: 75%. Baselines captured before any claim is published.

Cost in, over the first quarter.

One-time Engine Build at signup. Then month-to-month operations. $1,000 of each month’s total is included ad spend — you fund your own media account, we manage against it. No management fee is applied to ad spend.

LineAmountWhenEvidence
Engine Build (one-time) $2,500 at signup measured · contract
Operations — management fee $6,000 / mo months 1–n measured · contract
Operations — included ad spend $1,000 / mo months 1–n measured · contract
First-month total (install + operations) $9,500 month 1 measured
First-quarter total (install + three months) $23,500 months 1–3 measured

Terms: month-to-month. Cancel with 30 days written notice. You own every asset we build — website, ad accounts, content, automations, attribution data. If you ever leave, you leave with everything.

Three phases. One operating layer.

This is not a “launch and pray” timeline. Every phase has a captured-baseline milestone before it clears. If a number drifts, the audit catches it on Monday morning — before the month does.

week 1 · site live
day 7
Production website deploys against the Canonical Site Files contract (47-point pre-ship checklist, 6 AI-bot allowlist, structured data, AEO copy). Attribution stream is recording from day one.
day 30 · engine running
month 1
Paid traffic + organic content + CRM + AI tooling all wired into the same attribution event stream. Weekly connector audit is reporting on itself.
day 90 · baseline captured
Q1
First quarter of operations closes with a captured baseline across every KPI — cost per lead, qualified-lead rate, close rate, revenue attribution, time-to-first-touch. Every future claim gets measured against this baseline.

Break-even is one closed job, for most of the service businesses we install.

Back-of-envelope, spouse-readable. Take your average job value. Multiply by your current close rate. Divide the first quarter total by that. That’s how many net new qualified leads the operations layer has to bring in for the install to pay for itself.

Average job valueClose rateEffective value per qualified leadBreak-even jobs (Q1)Evidence
$5,000 25% $1,250 / lead ~5 jobs benchmark · cohort
$15,000 25% $3,750 / lead ~2 jobs benchmark · cohort
$35,000 25% $8,750 / lead <1 job benchmark · cohort

Numbers here are benchmark — sourced from first-cohort retention + close-rate averages. Your number is whatever your current operation actually does. We capture that as the baseline before any growth claim ships. This is the Confidence Floor in practice: we’d rather show conservative math than aspirational math.

Four evidence classes. Every claim carries one.

ClassWhat it meansExample
measured Live number pulled from our operations layer or a signed contract. Reproducible in minutes. Pre-ship checklist score. Ascend price. Connector audit status.
attributed Revenue or leads tied to a specific campaign via UTM + first-touch / last-touch attribution in our event stream. “Meta campaign X produced N qualified leads in week Y.”
modeled Projection based on captured baseline + known inputs. Always clearly labeled as a projection. “At current rate, quarterly pipeline would hit $X.”
benchmark Industry-level or first-cohort average. Useful for “break-even” math before your baseline is captured. Close-rate ranges. Cost-per-lead ranges by vertical.

If a number on this site is not one of these four classes, it’s a typo. The site-wide closer band at the bottom of every page is the policy: every claim is verifiable. Ask your current agency to show you theirs.

Every claim on this page is verifiable. Ask your current agency to show you theirs.

Want to run your own numbers with us?

15 minutes. No pitch. We look at your operation and tell you what the math would actually be for your business.

See If I Qualify →

Ad spend in. Revenue out. Verified weekly.